"Jerry Pournelle - The Strategy of Technology" - читать интересную книгу автора (Pournelle Jerry)Kissinger, convinced that the Cold War was lost, hoped to negotiate détente and come to terms
with Soviet International communism; and it was widely assumed in 1975 that the United States had been dealt a major defeat in Viet Nam. In 1991, just before the collapse of the Soviet Union ended the Seventy Years War, we attempted to edit this work into a form suitable for publication in an electronic medium. This was well before the popularity of the world wide web, and before electronic publishing tools were readily available. The end of the Seventy Years War brought other problems. The senior author, Dr. Stefan Possony, lived to see the victory which he had done so much to bring about, but died shortly after the collapse of international communism. Dr. Kane and Dr. Pournelle were involved in the development of the space program, and particularly the renewal of the X projects which had been canceled by McNamara in the name of Arms Control (because they were so successful at generating new military technology. New technology wasn’t wanted by those enamored of Arms Control strategies.) For those and other reasons, this book languished for six years with little or no work done. A generation of students used this book, but a new generation can’t find it; the copies still in use in the War College are Xeroxes, the book long being out of print. Meanwhile, new threats loom on the horizon. The Seventy Years War is over; the Technological War continues relentlessly. It is possible that this book is needed now more than ever. Most of the examples in this book were chosen for their impact on thoughts about the Cold War and the threat of Soviet communism. They are now historical rather than current, and a proper revision of this book would use examples from current threats; alas we haven’t time to do that; nor have we time to do a proper chapter on space and space weapons. You will find THOR and SDI in these pages, but they aren’t given their proper emphasis. No matter. The principles in this book remain as true today as when they were written; we find little that needs explaining, and Jerry Pournelle Studio City, California 1997 Preface to the Electronic Edition 1991 When this book was originally published, the Cold War was very real. The United States was winding down the agony of Viet Nam, and one heard calls for "one, two, three, many Viet Nams" to bring the United States to her knees. The threat of nuclear war was quite real, although it was not everywhere taken quite as seriously as it should have been. The Soviet Union was not seen as an evil empire, but as the representative of the wave of the future. The result was that the early portion of the book was devoted to convincing the readers that the threat was real, and imparting an understanding of the nature of that threat. That was needed then. It is less needed now; yet some of the early material also introduces the concepts of strategic analysis and the technological war, and those concepts are vital to understanding the principles we try to explain in this book. A full rewrite of STRATEGY OF TECHNOLOGY would go through and pare away those portions written to respond to the threat of the 70's and would add new examples and analyses to fit the threat of the 90's. Alas, we have not time to do this; our choices are a 'quick fix' or not to publish for some years. [That paragraph was itself written in 1991; what we did then was essentially nothing. It is clearly time to get this published in electronic form, whatever else we do.] STRATEGY OF TECHNOLOGY was a textbook in the Service Academies for several years, and off and on has been a textbook in the Air and National Defense War Colleges. We have reason to believe that its arguments were useful in bringing about adoption of a high tech strategy for the |
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